StrikeForce: Fedor vs. Hendo Predictions
The day is almost here, and I’m a little more excited than I was previousely. At first I could care less about this card. Fedor beats Hendo, Hendo beats Fedor, who cares? It doesn’t affect either of their rankings since they are in a HW bout, and Hendo is a natural 185 (that’s what is being said, I think he’s a natural 205’er myself, eh) so it doesn’t matter for either ranking. Yeah, I know, there is bragging rights to beating either of these two legends, bragging smagging, I don’t care, or I didn’t care. With news that the loser is out, and possibly both being out of StrikeForce if Hendo wins, now I’m interested. Then there is Paul Daley vs. Tyron Woodley, still don’t care. I’m not a Daley fan, I think his cheap shot on Koscheck warranted his expulsion from the entire sport, don’t get me started on how many times he’s missed weight! I like Woodley, I give him the edge as long as he doesn’t get cocky. But this fight doesn’t interest me in the least, unless Woodley KO’s Daley, and I mean like a Vehicular Manslaughter KO, then I’m interested. Robbie Lawler and Tim Kennedy, not so interested in what the fight will lead to, I do like watching Robbie fight, he’s always one punch from a KO. What does have me excited is Coenen vs. Tate and Cavalcante vs. Green. The Smith fight is probably gonna be good too. With that being said, below are my predictions, take them for what they are worth. (I did go 4 for 4 on the last Bellator card)
Main card (Showtime)
Heavyweight bout: Fedor Emelianenko vs. Dan Henderson
I give Henderson the edge if he gets past the first round. I don’t think Hendo will stand in the pocket and try to trade with Fedor. Fedor will most likely try to bait Hendo and land big shots early. If Hendo avoids the early onslaught, ties up Fedor and takes it deep into the 3rd round, I see a decision win for Hendo.
Women’s Welterweight (135 lb) Championship bout: Marloes Coenen vs. Miesha Tate
This is quite possibly the hardest card to call on this card. Miesha Tate is determined, she’s with Alpha Male now (Urijah Faber’s camp) has had a year layoff due to a knee injury and genuinely wants to destroy Coenen. Coenen is coming off a win, has previously beaten Tate and trains out of Golden Glory with Overeem. The only way I see this going differently than the first time is if Tate is a different fighter, by all accounts, she is. If Coenen prepared for the old Tate, then she will be unprepared. Tate has had a year to get Coenen down, to study every nuance. Even so, I feel Coenen is the stronger fighter in this matchup, I give it to Coenen by sub.
Middleweight bout: Robbie Lawler vs. Tim Kennedy
Robbie is coming off a loss to Jacare for the middleweight belt. Kennedy is coming off of an impressive submission win over Melvn Manhoef, pior to a loss from Jacare as well. Since 2008 Robbie’s record has been up and down, while Kennedy has 1 loss since 2007, giving him the stronger, consistent record. This fight could have title implications, that remains to be seen since Hendo may no longer be with the company forcing a title fight for the vacant belt. Kennedy has the momentum from his win, giving him the edge in my opinion. I give Kennedy the W by decision. That doesn’t mean I’m not hoping for Robbie to land a bomb.
Welterweight bout: Paul Daley vs. Tyron Woodley
As I said earlier, I don’t care about this fight unless Woodley wins by KO, henceforth referred to as the Homicide. That is the only way I will care. I stand by my earlier statement, if Woodley doesn’t get cocky, I give him the win by decision. If he gets cocky, Daley will put him to sleep.
Welterweight bout: Scott Smith vs. Tarec Saffiedine
Smith is coming off back to back losses, first to Cung Le by TKO, then to Daley by KO. Saffiedine is coming off a loss to Woodley. This will be a step up in competition for Saffiedine, quite possibly a do or die fight for Smith. Smith is 1-3 in his last 4 bouts, this loss should mean the end of his StrikeForce run. For that reason I would normally pull for Smith, in this instance I’m going with Saffiedine, he’s in a less pressure situation, I think he pulls out the win.
Lightweight bout: Gesias Cavalcante vs. Bobby Green
I’m very excited for this card. I like JZ, Bobby Green is something special. I feel like Green could be the next StrikeForce breakout star if given the right push. The majority of Green’s fights have not gone the distance. JZ has had 3 losses and 2 NC’s in his last 6 fights with only 1 win. JZ is also likely on his last chance with StrikeForce. JZ fights in Dream, he has a name in Japan, he doesn’t need StrikeForce, he does need the UFC eventually, a loss will not get him there. Even so, I give the win to Green, he’s young and hungry with a solid record.
I’m looking forward to the aftermath, you should be too. The actions Zuffa takes after this card will give us a look at their future StrikeForce plans.