UFC 154: Jimmy’s Apathetic Predictions

There must be something wrong with me.

I just can’t bring myself to get excited about this card. I mean, I should be going apesh!t over the return of GSP. Title fight. A card full of good fights.

But I can’t do it. I don’t know if it’s the last couple of lackluster cards I’ve seen from the UFC (not total duds, but many fights I didn’t care to see, either because they didn’t seem interesting to me or because they were between two guys I liked and just didn’t (as a fan) want to see fight each other)… Perhaps it could be Big Country not getting to fight Shane Carwin that has me down… (although I love Nelson against Mitrione)…

However enthusiastic I am or not about UFC 154, I will be watching  closely. We’re gonna see how the results shakedown several fighters’ positions in their division. It’ll be good to have a real welterweight title again and see who gets the next shot…

Predictions:

UFC 154 PPV Main Card
Georges St-Pierre vs. Carlos Condit
(welterweight-title bout)
Maybe it’s because I expect some “ring rust” from GSP and a frustrating gameplan from Condit that I’m not looking forward to this fight as much as I should. Tell me all you want about how Condit is a finisher, and GSP’s hungry like the wolf for a statement finish win… I’m just seeing this as one of two things: either a very slow fight, with GSP not taking risks and trying to control the action, with Condit flitting around the cage, throwing strikes from the outside and never really committing to striking, while stuffing GSP’s takedowns, or Condit knocking GSP out quickly. So… long night or early night. Either way I see it ending the same.
Prediction: Carlos Condit, KO
Johny Hendricks vs. Martin Kampmann
Normally I would say something along the lines of “I like both these guys… it’s a weird match-up so expect a ton of unorthodox fighting,” but I think I’ll spare the analysis, except to say that I don’t like Hendricks in this one. I mean, Hendricks is a fun fighter to watch, he’s improving his stand-up and he’s got power in his hands, but I just don’t see him on Kampmann’s level. Not tonight. Hendricks says he may wait for a title fight if he wins. I predict he’ll be waiting alright, as he fights his way back from losing to Kampmann.
Prediction: Martin Kampmann, KO

Tom Lawlor vs. Francis Carmont
I like Tom Lawlor. I don’t think he beats Carmont. Honestly, this is one of the fights I’m a little apathetic about. I just see this as a circling and grab-fest. I hope they prove me wrong. Muttonchops on Lawlor acknowledged. Griggs wears ’em better.
Prediction: Francis Carmont, Submission

Mark Bocek vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Now here’s something interesting to me. I like both of these guys a lot. I think this could be Fight of the Night.
Prediction: Rafael dos Anjos, submission

Mark Hominick vs. Pablo Garza
Nick Ring fell ill, so this fight gets moved into the PPV card. I think Mark Hominick seizes this opportunity and puts on a  clinic. Pablo Garza is a worthy opponent, but not one I feel wins this bout.
Prediction: Mark Hominick, KO

FX Prelims
Patrick Cote vs. Alessio Sakara
Nothing against “The Predator” but I don’t think Cote can hang with Sakara. That is, if Sakara learned anything from his back-to-back losses against top opponents.
Prediction: Alessio Sakara, KO

Cyrille Diabate vs. Chad Griggs
Love the muttonchops Griggs is sporting. They won’t help him against Diabate.
Prediction: Cyrille Diabate, submission

John Makdessi vs. Sam Stout
Stout is a veteran. Anyone will tell you that. Makdessi is a beast.
Prediction John Makdessi. TKO

Antonio Carvalho vs. Rodrigo Damm
Rodrigo’s gonna make Dana White say “Damn!”

…sorry.
Prediction: Rodrigo Damm, submission

So that’s it. My predictions. Don’t you dare wager based on them—I don’t have the best record, especially when I’m as indifferent as I am now. I should note that the UFC has surprised me before with a high quality, exciting card when I expected less, so I’m going into this one with some enthusiasm, in spite of my gut feeling about it.

Enjoy the fights!

 

—Jimmy